You can't win the Masters on Friday, but you can lose it.

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After all the hype, noise, speculation, intrigue and preparation, the worst-case scenario for every golfer is to be sent packing by Friday night.

All 95 players will play two rounds, but only the top 50 – including ties – will make it through to the third and fourth rounds.

Of course, this means the cut line changes each year, the benchmark for making it through is not static, everyone must bring their best form to the course or risk falling foul of the sifting process.

2023 champion Jon Rahm is among the high-profile players in some degree of peril following a messy three-over opening round at Augusta on Thursday.

RadioTimes.com brings you the projected cut line for the Masters in 2025.

Read more: The Masters TV coverage | The Masters radio coverage | The Masters highlights | The Masters on BBC | The Masters tee times | The Masters blackout explained | The Masters prize money

The Masters 2025 projected cut line

After the first round, DataGolf.com has projected a 39.5 per cent chance of the cut line standing at three-over, meaning all players below that line would be eliminated.

It also predicts a 29.6 per cent chance of the cut line dropping to four-over by the end of the second round, and an 18.5 per cent chance of it rising to two-under.

Prior to the second round, Wyndham Clark, Nicolai Højgaard and Billy Horschel are in the most danger.

The Masters cut line history

The cut line has taken a six-stroke swing in recent years, with last year's tournament dropping down to six-over and the 2020 edition coming in at a highly-competitive par score cut.

The average over the last 15 years is 3.66-over, effectively four-over par.

  • 2024: +6
  • 2023: +3
  • 2022: +4
  • 2021: +3
  • 2020: E
  • 2019: +3
  • 2018: +5
  • 2017: +6
  • 2016: +6
  • 2015: +2
  • 2014: +4
  • 2013: +4
  • 2012: +5
  • 2011: +1
  • 2010: +3
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Authors

Michael PottsSport Editor

Michael Potts is the Sport Editor for Radio Times, covering all of the biggest sporting events across the globe with previews, features, interviews and more. He has worked for Radio Times since 2019 and previously worked on the sport desk at Express.co.uk after starting his career writing features for What Culture. He achieved a first-class degree in Sports Journalism in 2014.

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